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How AT&T's Merger With Discovery Will Affect HBO Stock

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How AT&T's Merger With Discovery Will Affect HBO Stock

hbo stock

HBO stock would be a good buy for many reasons. HBO's subscription base is increasing, and content is likely to continue to attract subscribers. The company's growth in recent years also has contributed to its growing subscriber base. However, there's no guarantee that it will become a publicly traded company any time soon. AT&T is one of the most complex companies in the world, making it difficult for most investors to value it.

AT&T's media strategy

If you own HBO stock, you should be excited about AT&T's new media strategy. The media giant recently unveiled plans to merge with rival Discovery to form a media powerhouse. While the deal isn't set in stone, it has been long-rumored. But what is it exactly? How does it benefit investors? Here are some key details. Regardless of whether the merger is approved by regulators or not, investors should be on the lookout for it.

After buying Time Warner in 2005, AT&T had grand plans to become a 21st century media colossus by connecting its cellphone business with Turner channels and Warner Bros. However, the company was forced to abandon those plans due to its massive debt load. Now, it's ready to spin off its entertainment assets in a more traditional fashion, partnering with Discovery Inc., which owns HGTV and Food Network. At the same time, the new company will have access to over 200,000 hours of video and premium sports rights.

While the deal is good for HBO stock, investors should not be enticed by the acquisition of Time Warner. Time Warner is a media business that has seen some success over the past few years, but it's still a good bet to buy if you are looking for a value-driven stock. After all, AT&T has invested $500 million into the company and has been making headlines with its recent merger with Time Warner.

Time Warner and HBO's plans to merge have been the catalysts for the merger. In the last few years, these two media companies have been fighting the Trump administration for years, and now it's time to join forces. While the merger between these two media giants makes sense for Time Warner and HBO, it also brings uncertainty for investors and a lower price for the stock. There are a number of potential ramifications, but in the meantime, the company remains attractive.

In the end, it's clear that HBO has a difficult road ahead, and it must find its feet in the streaming space. But, the company's strategy is sound. Jeff Bewkes, the current CEO, has made the right choice. AT&T did the right thing by getting out of the way. He hired an outsider to run the streaming effort. The result was the same: the streaming push was not welcomed by the Hollywood elite.

HBO Max's growth

While HBO Max's initial launch year in 2020 was difficult, the company was able to gain distribution and early subscriber growth after launching a cheaper, ad-supported tier. HBO Max now boasts a younger audience than linear HBO and an average view time of 2.8 hours per day. According to WarnerMedia chief Jason Kilar, HBO Max has "significantly exceeded" the expectations of investors and critics alike.

The company is on track to double its subscriber base by 2025 and has already surpassed internal projections. HBO is on track to reach 150 million subscribers worldwide by 2025, nearly double its initial high-end forecast of 90 million. The company is also planning to launch HBO Max in 60 more countries over the next nine months, putting it well ahead of its original October 2019 launch date. However, it did not release specific numbers of how its movies performed.

HBO is relying on its ad-supported tier to boost its subscriptions, while AT&T will announce AVOD pricing in an upcoming report. While the ad-supported tier should help HBO expand, HBO will need to focus on churn prevention and retention to achieve its goal. That's a tall order. But HBO is confident in its vision of delivering outsized value for its subscribers and it will likely raise its prices over time.

In the fourth quarter of 2021, Netflix added 8.3 million net new subscribers worldwide. HBO Max grew their subscriber base domestically by +1.6 million. While these figures are encouraging, HBO's growth is not enough to satisfy AT&T. In the meantime, WarnerMedia's vast media library should continue to drive more subscribers to HBO Max. So how do we get to this point? Let's look at the underlying business model.

HBO Max's subscriber growth was fueled by popular films and TV series, but the company has had some trouble getting linear cable customers to sign up for its service. WarnerMedia hopes to scale HBO MAX quickly in the future, but until then, the company must continue to focus on attracting new customers. In the meantime, HBO's new subscription model is proving to be a wildly successful business model for both companies.

WarnerMedia's exit from AT&T

The pending separation between AT&T and WarnerMedia will likely have an impact on HBO stock. In a bid to create a unified media company, AT&T is spinning off the company's media assets, including HBO, Discovery Inc., CNN, and HBO Max. Additionally, the company will have a stake in the new streaming service, HBO+. The combined business will be run by Discovery CEO David Zaslav, and executives from both companies will have key leadership roles.

The deal will save $3 billion a year and result in layoffs. The deal will combine certain departments. While it may seem like an unfriendly combination, it's likely to create a more stable and established media company. This combination of two major companies will create a much larger corporation, with lower costs, higher growth, and more content and customers. In addition, the deal will eliminate some of the company's debt.

According to Brooks Barnes, "the merger between Discovery and WarnerMedia could close on Friday." While the timing is not set in stone, it's still important to know what's going on in the media industry and how the upcoming merger will affect HBO stock. Earlier this week, CNN's Zucker was expected to take over some of Ann Sarnoff's portfolio as the new CEO of HBO. The merger is expected to create a media giant with a global reach, which will have a positive impact on HBO stock.

Discovery and WarnerMedia's merger will create a powerful standalone global media company, with the two companies' deep warches of content equaling each other. Together, they'll be able to invest in more original content on streaming services and expand their programming options across global linear pay TV. The merger will also give HBO shareholders better opportunities to offer their subscribers more innovative video experiences. That's why the new company will have an even greater impact on HBO stock.

AT&T's $85 billion purchase of Time Warner three years ago has also had a negative impact on HBO stock. However, the company's CEO, John Malone, has claimed that he is a "capital allocator in chief" and he wants to pass on its debt to the new entity. The move is not a complete surprise, but it is important to note that AT&T is not the only major media company in trouble.

Streaming video industry's speculative picks

Streaming video stocks have faced a lot of volatility in the first half of the year, with downgrades and stock sell-offs a common sight. While Netflix's unexpected first-quarter subscriber decline was not entirely surprising, it sparked questions about the future of Hollywood's streaming pivot. Meanwhile, the structural shift toward online video-on-demand services has led to speculation about advertising revenue. Streaming video stocks have also suffered from fears about recession and inflation-induced recession.

While streaming video adds value to companies' overall businesses, it's not a reason to invest in their stock. Their success will determine their ability to compete. However, if these streaming video stocks can sustain their current valuations, they deserve to be part of your asset allocation mix. However, a correction in the market may present a better entry point. If you are looking for speculative opportunities, you should consider the upcoming streaming video market.

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